SCOTUS
- haresfur - Apr 26, 2024 - 9:41pm
The Moon
- KurtfromLaQuinta - Apr 26, 2024 - 9:08pm
Photography Forum - Your Own Photos
- KurtfromLaQuinta - Apr 26, 2024 - 9:06pm
April 2024 Photo Theme - Happenstance
- fractalv - Apr 26, 2024 - 8:59pm
Musky Mythology
- Red_Dragon - Apr 26, 2024 - 7:23pm
Trump
- Red_Dragon - Apr 26, 2024 - 5:35pm
Mini Meetups - Post Here!
- Red_Dragon - Apr 26, 2024 - 4:02pm
Australia has Disappeared
- Red_Dragon - Apr 26, 2024 - 2:41pm
NY Times Strands
- ScottFromWyoming - Apr 26, 2024 - 1:38pm
If not RP, what are you listening to right now?
- westslope - Apr 26, 2024 - 1:18pm
Israel
- R_P - Apr 26, 2024 - 12:53pm
Breaking News
- kcar - Apr 26, 2024 - 11:17am
Radio Paradise sounding better recently
- firefly6 - Apr 26, 2024 - 10:39am
Neil Young
- Steely_D - Apr 26, 2024 - 9:20am
NYTimes Connections
- geoff_morphini - Apr 26, 2024 - 9:08am
Wordle - daily game
- geoff_morphini - Apr 26, 2024 - 9:02am
Country Up The Bumpkin
- KurtfromLaQuinta - Apr 26, 2024 - 9:01am
Today in History
- Red_Dragon - Apr 26, 2024 - 6:03am
Radio Paradise Comments
- miamizsun - Apr 26, 2024 - 5:09am
Environmental, Brilliance or Stupidity
- miamizsun - Apr 26, 2024 - 5:07am
The Obituary Page
- DaveInSaoMiguel - Apr 26, 2024 - 3:47am
Joe Biden
- kurtster - Apr 25, 2024 - 9:24pm
Talk Behind Their Backs Forum
- islander - Apr 25, 2024 - 2:28pm
Things You Thought Today
- Manbird - Apr 25, 2024 - 2:12pm
Poetry Forum
- Manbird - Apr 25, 2024 - 12:30pm
Ask an Atheist
- R_P - Apr 25, 2024 - 11:02am
Mixtape Culture Club
- miamizsun - Apr 25, 2024 - 10:36am
Afghanistan
- R_P - Apr 25, 2024 - 10:26am
Science in the News
- Red_Dragon - Apr 25, 2024 - 10:00am
What the hell OV?
- miamizsun - Apr 25, 2024 - 9:46am
The Abortion Wars
- Isabeau - Apr 25, 2024 - 9:27am
Vinyl Only Spin List
- ColdMiser - Apr 25, 2024 - 7:15am
What's that smell?
- Manbird - Apr 24, 2024 - 10:27pm
Song of the Day
- oldviolin - Apr 24, 2024 - 10:20pm
260,000 Posts in one thread?
- NoEnzLefttoSplit - Apr 24, 2024 - 10:55am
Would you drive this car for dating with ur girl?
- rgio - Apr 24, 2024 - 8:44am
TV shows you watch
- Beaker - Apr 24, 2024 - 7:32am
Dialing 1-800-Manbird
- Bill_J - Apr 23, 2024 - 7:15pm
China
- R_P - Apr 23, 2024 - 5:35pm
Economix
- islander - Apr 23, 2024 - 12:11pm
USA! USA! USA!
- R_P - Apr 23, 2024 - 11:05am
One Partying State - Wyoming News
- sunybuny - Apr 23, 2024 - 6:53am
YouTube: Music-Videos
- Red_Dragon - Apr 22, 2024 - 7:42pm
Ukraine
- haresfur - Apr 22, 2024 - 6:19pm
songs that ROCK!
- Steely_D - Apr 22, 2024 - 1:50pm
Bug Reports & Feature Requests
- q4Fry - Apr 22, 2024 - 11:57am
Republican Party
- R_P - Apr 22, 2024 - 9:36am
Malaysia
- dcruzj - Apr 22, 2024 - 7:30am
Canada
- westslope - Apr 22, 2024 - 6:23am
Russia
- NoEnzLefttoSplit - Apr 22, 2024 - 1:03am
Broccoli for cats - you gotta see this!
- Bill_J - Apr 21, 2024 - 6:16pm
Name My Band
- DaveInSaoMiguel - Apr 21, 2024 - 3:06pm
Main Mix Playlist
- thisbody - Apr 21, 2024 - 12:04pm
George Orwell
- oldviolin - Apr 21, 2024 - 11:36am
• • • The Once-a-Day • • •
- oldviolin - Apr 20, 2024 - 7:44pm
What Did You See Today?
- Welly - Apr 20, 2024 - 4:50pm
Radio Paradise on multiple Echo speakers via an Alexa Rou...
- victory806 - Apr 20, 2024 - 2:11pm
Libertarian Party
- R_P - Apr 20, 2024 - 11:18am
Remembering the Good Old Days
- kurtster - Apr 20, 2024 - 2:37am
Words I didn't know...yrs ago
- Bill_J - Apr 19, 2024 - 7:06pm
Things that make you go Hmmmm.....
- Bill_J - Apr 19, 2024 - 6:59pm
Baseball, anyone?
- Red_Dragon - Apr 19, 2024 - 6:51pm
MILESTONES: Famous People, Dead Today, Born Today, Etc.
- Bill_J - Apr 19, 2024 - 6:44pm
2024 Elections!
- steeler - Apr 19, 2024 - 5:49pm
how do you feel right now?
- miamizsun - Apr 19, 2024 - 6:02am
When I need a Laugh I ...
- miamizsun - Apr 19, 2024 - 5:43am
Live Music
- oldviolin - Apr 18, 2024 - 3:24pm
What Makes You Laugh?
- oldviolin - Apr 18, 2024 - 2:49pm
Robots
- miamizsun - Apr 18, 2024 - 2:18pm
Museum Of Bad Album Covers
- Steve - Apr 18, 2024 - 6:58am
Europe
- haresfur - Apr 17, 2024 - 6:47pm
Business as Usual
- black321 - Apr 17, 2024 - 1:48pm
Magic Eye optical Illusions
- Proclivities - Apr 17, 2024 - 10:08am
Just for the Haiku of it. . .
- oldviolin - Apr 17, 2024 - 9:01am
HALF A WORLD
- oldviolin - Apr 17, 2024 - 8:52am
|
Index »
Radio Paradise/General »
General Discussion »
2020 Elections
|
Page: Previous 1, 2, 3 ... 7, 8, 9 ... 115, 116, 117 Next |
westslope
Location: BC sage brush steppe
|
Posted:
Jan 6, 2021 - 10:55am |
|
From the NYT's running commentary:
Michael S. SchmidtWashington Correspondent Cruz says that half the country thinks the election is rigged. I wonder if heâs going to point out that the person with the largest bullhorn in the country (the president) has pushed this specious claim.
1:51 PM ET
——————————-
Sad really. Americans are stupid and easy to manipulate. It is becoming a FACT.
In passing, I agree that American economic and political elites should enjoy an exclusive monopoly on misleading and manipulating American citizens.
..... Just like men of great stature should be able to sexually assault and rape women of their choice.
|
|
Red_Dragon
Location: Dumbf*ckistan
|
Posted:
Jan 6, 2021 - 9:42am |
|
|
|
westslope
Location: BC sage brush steppe
|
Posted:
Jan 6, 2021 - 7:47am |
|
rgio wrote:......... If we're using history as a proxy, then be careful about over-exuberance following a pandemic.
..... The stock markets are up in 2020 because of the pandemic, not in spite of it. Higher government spending comes from higher taxes, and increasing taxes never drives the stock market higher.
Is prior Democratic Presidency financial performance causation or correlation? It appears very likely the Senate will flip, and futures are flat.
In 3 years, I'm willing to bet that all you'll hear from the Republican candidates is how much better the markets did under Trump than Biden. Joe's inheriting a bubble, not a rocketship.
Well, markets also tend to prefer lame duck presidents. I see markets as a short-term voting machine by folks who seek to increase private wealth levels and are not concerned about longer-term social outcomes. A Democratic sweep of these two seats may not be well received by all. Higher government spending also comes with larger deficits and debts. I am sure that once the Biden regime is in full swing that Republicans will re-discover fiscal conservatism (the rhetoric at the least) and implicitly renounce their current Marxist-Keynesian fiscal policy position.
|
|
rgio
Location: West Jersey Gender:
|
Posted:
Jan 6, 2021 - 5:52am |
|
westslope wrote:
rgio wrote: westslope wrote:Vacuous prediction: The Republicans win at least one Senate seat.
If, and I mean, truly if, the Democrats sweep both seats, then I would expect markets to skyrocket higher after definitive results are announced.
Because the Biden tax plan can be implemented more broadly and quickly, or because the Dems will give out more money (starting with the $2,000 relief checks)? Why do you expect higher markets? For a bunch of reasons. + Historic. Markets like Democratic presidents more than Republican presidents. Stylized fact with some support in peer-reviewed journals. + The out-going president has been an economic disaster on numerous fronts. Bottom-line is that conflict is not good for business. Markets might like the Marxist Keynesian tax cuts for a short period but now in the context of the pandemic it looks so careless, so reckless. + Trump is an atrocious risk manager when it comes to broad social, national, economic, security risks. Once the perception settles in that he threatens longer-term stability and growth, anybody will look better than Trump. Not meaning to demean the very real talents and useful experience of Joe Biden. + A cyber buddy once said that Biden is the pussycat of American politics. This guy is the deal maker. He's the real deal. Calm, order, stability, people sitting down, this is what the street needs and I believe wants at this point. + There is broad consensus among economists that fiscal spending should go on a war-like footing to cope with the pandemic. Cutting corners for some high-risk short-term growth is just plain dangerous. + More federal government spending, the more likely the US dollar will continue to decline in relative value. That is a good thing for US exporters and their workers. Recall that market values are measured in US dollars. Moreover, I fully expect A Democratic sweep to energize energy markets, in particular oil markets. In resource markets, 'less' is always 'more'. If Biden puts some northern and offshore back into no-exploitation reserves, bans fracking on federal lands (where in passing fracking would least impact people....), restrict flaring, production growth will slow and consequently prices should increase. That would be positive for the US oil&gas sector where financial discipline and honesty has been sorely lacking. This sector may have averaged negative risk-adjusted returns to capital over the past decade. Crazy. + In passing, it is odd how the USA is set up to allow municipalities and states to risk manage public finances. Huh? Never mind. In the meantime, many could use a cash injection. A Democratic-controlled Senate would make sure that would happen. It is critical to keep public workers on the payroll and have the flexibility to hire more specialists as required.
If we're using history as a proxy, then be careful about over-exuberance following a pandemic. Trump's weaknesses have resulted in the consolidation of industries and financial windfalls for the largest players (represented in the Dow/Nasdaq). The US has been printing money, and as you (sorta) point out, states and municipal governments have been running at a deficit to cover COVID costs and lost revenues (increasing gas taxes to cover lost toll revenue for example). The stock markets are up in 2020 because of the pandemic, not in spite of it. Higher government spending comes from higher taxes, and increasing taxes never drives the stock market higher. Is prior Democratic Presidency financial performance causation or correlation? It appears very likely the Senate will flip, and futures are flat. In 3 years, I'm willing to bet that all you'll hear from the Republican candidates is how much better the markets did under Trump than Biden. Joe's inheriting a bubble, not a rocketship.
|
|
westslope
Location: BC sage brush steppe
|
Posted:
Jan 6, 2021 - 5:24am |
|
rgio wrote: westslope wrote:Vacuous prediction: The Republicans win at least one Senate seat.
If, and I mean, truly if, the Democrats sweep both seats, then I would expect markets to skyrocket higher after definitive results are announced.
Because the Biden tax plan can be implemented more broadly and quickly, or because the Dems will give out more money (starting with the $2,000 relief checks)? Why do you expect higher markets? For a bunch of reasons. + Historic. Markets like Democratic presidents more than Republican presidents. Stylized fact with some support in peer-reviewed journals. + The out-going president has been an economic disaster on numerous fronts. Bottom-line is that conflict is not good for business. Markets might like the Marxist Keynesian tax cuts for a short period but now in the context of the pandemic it looks so careless, so reckless. + Trump is an atrocious risk manager when it comes to broad social, national, economic, security risks. Once the perception settles in that he threatens longer-term stability and growth, anybody will look better than Trump. Not meaning to demean the very real talents and useful experience of Joe Biden. + A cyber buddy once said that Biden is the pussycat of American politics. This guy is the deal maker. He's the real deal. Calm, order, stability, people sitting down, this is what the street needs and I believe wants at this point. + There is broad consensus among economists that fiscal spending should go on a war-like footing to cope with the pandemic. Cutting corners for some high-risk short-term growth is just plain dangerous. + More federal government spending, the more likely the US dollar will continue to decline in relative value. That is a good thing for US exporters and their workers. Recall that market values are measured in US dollars. Moreover, I fully expect A Democratic sweep to energize energy markets, in particular oil markets. In resource markets, 'less' is always 'more'. If Biden puts some northern and offshore back into no-exploitation reserves, bans fracking on federal lands (where in passing fracking would least impact people....), restrict flaring, production growth will slow and consequently prices should increase. That would be positive for the US oil&gas sector where financial discipline and honesty has been sorely lacking. This sector may have averaged negative risk-adjusted returns to capital over the past decade. Crazy. + In passing, it is odd how the USA is set up to allow municipalities and states to risk manage public finances. Huh? Never mind. In the meantime, many could use a cash injection. A Democratic-controlled Senate would make sure that would happen. It is critical to keep public workers on the payroll and have the flexibility to hire more specialists as required.
|
|
Steely_D
Location: Biscayne Bay Gender:
|
Posted:
Jan 5, 2021 - 10:52pm |
|
haresfur wrote:
Historically, democrats have been better for business
With the exception of Reagan and Carter, the economy in general shows greater strides/improvement under democrats. (Because the GOP screw it up so badly before they hand it off.)
|
|
R_P
Gender:
|
Posted:
Jan 5, 2021 - 8:24pm |
|
Ossoff now with a 94 percent chance to win. The fundamental G.O.P. problem: Its vote is basically exhausted. Ossoff is favored to win the remaining vote by 36 points (he needs to win by 26 to prevail).
See the forecast
Our estimates show Warnock with a greater than 95 percent chance to win. Loeffler has largely exhausted her vote, under reasonable assumptions.
(...)
âIf they win, Iâll get no credit,â Trump predicted of Republicans last night. âIf they lose, theyâre gonna blame Trump.â Given Georgiaâs political shift in the Trump era, heâs probably onto something.
|
|
haresfur
Location: The Golden Triangle Gender:
|
Posted:
Jan 5, 2021 - 6:59pm |
|
rgio wrote: westslope wrote:Vacuous prediction: The Republicans win at least one Senate seat.
If, and I mean, truly if, the Democrats sweep both seats, then I would expect markets to skyrocket higher after definitive results are announced.
Because the Biden tax plan can be implemented more broadly and quickly, or because the Dems will give out more money (starting with the $2,000 relief checks)? Why do you expect higher markets? Historically, democrats have been better for business
|
|
rgio
Location: West Jersey Gender:
|
Posted:
Jan 5, 2021 - 6:25pm |
|
westslope wrote:
Vacuous prediction: The Republicans win at least one Senate seat.
If, and I mean, truly if, the Democrats sweep both seats, then I would expect markets to skyrocket higher after definitive results are announced.
Because the Biden tax plan can be implemented more broadly and quickly, or because the Dems will give out more money (starting with the $2,000 relief checks)? Why do you expect higher markets?
|
|
R_P
Gender:
|
Posted:
Jan 5, 2021 - 6:10pm |
|
westslope wrote:
Apparently Democrats are preparing garlands with much love to gift out-going President Trump; he has been so helpful. I would not be surprised if some Republicans start saying that Trump was working for the Democrats all along.
A radical agenda is possible with control of the Senate.
An appropriate legacy for the man who craves wins, along with the single term.
|
|
westslope
Location: BC sage brush steppe
|
Posted:
Jan 5, 2021 - 5:40pm |
|
Vacuous prediction: The Republicans win at least one Senate seat.
If, and I mean, truly if, the Democrats sweep both seats, then I would expect markets to skyrocket higher after definitive results are announced.
|
|
westslope
Location: BC sage brush steppe
|
Posted:
Jan 5, 2021 - 5:36pm |
|
Early results show the Democratic candidates in the lead in the Georgia Senate seat runoffs. 40% of votes counted. Warnock +9, Ossoff +8 https://www.nytimes.com/intera...Apparently Democrats are preparing garlands with much love to gift out-going President Trump; he has been so helpful. I would not be surprised if some Republicans start saying that Trump was working for the Democrats all along. A radical agenda is possible with control of the Senate.
|
|
R_P
Gender:
|
Posted:
Jan 5, 2021 - 3:03pm |
|
Trump Still Says He Won. What Happens Next?A republic works only when the losers of elections accept the results and the legitimacy of their opponents.
The Republican effort to derail Congressâs electoral vote count on Wednesday will fail, and President-elect Joe Biden will be sworn in at noon on Jan. 20, as the Constitution commands. What will persist, however, is an existential crisis: What to do about a political party that is no longer committed to representative democracy?
(...)
The first time, Republicans in Congress were more than happy to let him get away with it â all Senate Republicans but one voted to acquit Mr. Trump of the two articles of impeachment approved by the House of Representatives. Susan Collins of Maine defended her not guilty vote by claiming that the president had learned âa pretty big lesson.â She pointed out that his extortion effort had earned him rebukes from both Democrats and Republicans. âI believe that he will be much more cautious in the future,â she said.
Ms. Collins was right about the first part: Mr. Trump did learn a pretty big lesson. He learned that he can break the law and undermine democracy with impunity. He learned that he can do the political equivalent of shooting someone in the middle of Fifth Avenue, and he wonât lose the support of Republicans. So, naturally, he pulled the trigger again.
|
|
R_P
Gender:
|
Posted:
Jan 5, 2021 - 2:02pm |
|
|
|
westslope
Location: BC sage brush steppe
|
Posted:
Jan 4, 2021 - 1:37pm |
|
rgio wrote: kurtster wrote: Nope, no fraud. No evidence, anywhere. That is what the New York Times has told us, over and over again. Kurt, this isn't evidence...it's politically motivated theory. .....
rgio, Be nice to the term 'theory'. Even if most people strictly speaking mean 'hypothesis' when they use the word 'theory'. These accusations of election fraud are not 'theory', they are baseless assertions. Apparently somebody who was both competent and famous once said: "Repeat a lie often enough and it becomes the truth"
|
|
kcar
|
Posted:
Jan 3, 2021 - 3:19pm |
|
buddy wrote:Whatever else may be posted here at this point, the 2020 Elections were over weeks ago. All that's happening until the inauguration is the GOP scramble as to who inherits the insanity that has become of what was once an honorable political party. My money is on Ted Cruz, who is only outdone by Trump himself for a total lack of integrity & morality.
Cruz has an extraordinary talent for alienating people, though. He is openly the most hated Senator within the chamber. I doubt he'll be able to win the Trump base over as well. People like/love Trump because he's blunt, vicious and self-assured. He can lie all day and his base never calls him on it. Cruz doesn't have that Reality Distortion Bubble or the Teflon skin. Tom Cotton, Senator of Arkansas, may be the next prick up.
|
|
R_P
Gender:
|
Posted:
Jan 3, 2021 - 3:17pm |
|
buddy wrote:
Whatever else may be posted here at this point, the 2020 Elections were over weeks ago. (...)
The presidential election process follows a typical cycle:
- Spring of the year before an election â Candidates announce their intentions to run.
- Summer of the year before an election through spring of the election year â Primary and caucus
debates take place.
- January to June of election year â States and parties hold
primaries
and caucuses.
- July to early September â Parties hold nominating conventions to choose their candidates.
- September and October â Candidates participate in presidential debates.
- Early November â Election Day
- December â
Electors
cast their votes in the Electoral College.
- Early January of the next calendar year â Congress counts the electoral votes.
- January 20 â Inauguration Day
|
|
katzendogs
Location: Pasadena ,Texas Gender:
|
Posted:
Jan 3, 2021 - 3:16pm |
|
buddy wrote:Whatever else may be posted here at this point, the 2020 Elections were over weeks ago. All that's happening until the inauguration is the GOP scramble as to who inherits the insanity that has become of what was once an honorable political party. My money is on Ted Cruz, who is only outdone by Trump himself for a total lack of integrity & morality. Hopefully it will get him the hell out of Texas.
|
|
haresfur
Location: The Golden Triangle Gender:
|
Posted:
Jan 3, 2021 - 3:11pm |
|
buddy wrote:Whatever else may be posted here at this point, the 2020 Elections were over weeks ago. All that's happening until the inauguration is the GOP scramble as to who inherits the insanity that has become of what was once an honorable political party. My money is on Ted Cruz, who is only outdone by Trump himself for a total lack of integrity & morality.
On the bright side, Cruz is more than willing to flip-flop on his own bullshit so maybe he will flop to the marginally better
|
|
haresfur
Location: The Golden Triangle Gender:
|
Posted:
Jan 3, 2021 - 2:15pm |
|
R_P wrote: I wish he had drawn trump out to clarify the request. Like, "So you want me to make up some ballots to count, right?"
|
|
|